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The Economy in a Reunited Ireland

Under the Eire Athaontaithe (Reunited Ireland) proposal for a reunited Ireland, the economy will be highly ranked, as it is the engine that generates the finances required to fund the government and the programs and policy initiatives that we as empowered citizens collectively choose to live by.  It will be managed in a way that identifies and mitigates vulnerabilities and at the same time develop a home-grown economic base that will lessens the impact of downturns in the global economy.

The Irish economy is generally referred to as a highly developed knowledge-based economy, and alternatively as a small, modern, trade dependent economy. Both descriptions are apt as they call attention to the economy’s potential on the upside and vulnerability on the downside. The economy ranks high amongst highly developed countries according to a number of economic indicators including the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), GDP per capita, the Global Innovation index (GII), the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) the International Minimum Wages Rates and the International Education Power Rankings.  

To lend perspective to the relative size of Ireland’s economy, the following comparison will suffice. The GDP of the largest economy in the world, the United States is 22.8 trillion; the GDP of Germany, the largest economy in Europe, is 3.9 trillion; and the GDP of Ireland is 548.2 billion.  Another important statistic is the GDP per capita (the GDP divided by the population). The GDP per capita for the United States amounts to $69,000, for Germany it amounts to $51,000 and for Ireland it amounts to $99,000. For Ireland these numbers look great, however, they should not be construed to gauge or compare the quality of life in any of these countries. There are many other intangibles not included in GDP statistics that would have to be factored in to accurately measure quality-of-life issues.  

Ireland’s economic system since its ascension into the European Union has been a mixed-market system embracing a combination of capitalist and socialist economics elements. Most European countries work with similar economic systems --- each with their own unique combinations. It’s difficult to assess the relative success of any country’s system compared to another due to varying factors, including, the size and makeup of each economy. Therefore, each must be judged on how well it's managed and how it benefits the country as a whole.

The largest sector of the Irish economy is the services sector which accounts for approximately 55% of the GDP and employs 77% of the workforce. The second sector, manufacturing, accounts for approximately 38% of the GDP and employs 19% of the workforce. The third sector, agriculture accounts for approximately 1.5% of GPD and employs 4% of the workforce. Other sectors including public administration and transport account for the remainder.

The fact that agriculture accounts for only 1.5% of the GDP is an anomaly of sorts as agriculture has been the mainstay of Ireland’s economy down through the centuries. At first blush it would seem that it is the victim of intentional benign neglect so that other sectors, particularly those with substantial foreign investments, could be better resourced. If so, it’s short-sighted as it ignores or downgrades what should be a foundational sector of the economy. 

Ireland has been uniquely situated to attract foreign investment. In addition to being the only English-speaking country with unimpeded access to the European Union marketplace, it has had a very favorable tax regime and a highly educated and flexible work force. As a result, Ireland attracted multinational companies from across the globe, particularly from the United States. This more than any other factor is what fuels the Irish economy. According to some data crunchers, it has raised the standard of living to one of the highest in Europe. Despite what data crunchers conclude, the term ‘standard of living’ is nonetheless subjective depending on one’s circumstances and sense of economic security --- for many in Ireland, in all walks of life, the root cause of an ever-present gnawing unease.  

One factor in particular that has fueled the extraordinary investment splurge has been the tax regime.  European Union countries require all members to adhere to a common corporate tax policy so as to even the playing field regarding foreign investments. To circumvent that requirement, Ireland and a few of other countries secretly engaged in sweetheart deals with major players as enticements to site their operations in their respective countries.  When this came to light, compliant countries in Europe together with the United States forced Ireland and the other non-compliant countries to agree to an across-the-board minimum corporate tax levy of 15% for all companies.

This one forced change in Ireland’s modus operandi will have an influence where foreign companies invest their resources going forward. A case in point is Puerto Rico where pharmaceutical companies cut back on their operations when the tax incentives expired.     

Despite Ireland’s successes thus far, the future is an open book. Irrespective of when Ireland is reunited, its leaders must be visionary in their planning, not only for next year but for the future we leave our successors. 

To summarize, the federal system as proposed in the Eire Athaontaithe proposal is best suited to merge the existing economies of the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland into a workable system with the least negative impact. A long-term fix will require new regional economic systems to facilitate a degree of regional parity in wealth, income, development and government resources. 

This can be achieved without losing any of what is already gained. In can be done by tweaking the system to remove vulnerabilities inherent in foreign-owned enterprises and by providing adequate funding for domestic-based startups and entrepreneurs so that they can develop a home-grown sustainable economic base. Agriculture would also receive more attention and funding so as to take full advantage of the rich soil of Ireland which a few centuries ago fed itself and also exported substantial quantities of food and livestock.        

 


   TMMTP

Date posted 8/6/2022